Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1.833041 2.100257 2.394059 2.741261 3.140656 3.586045 4.120904
2025-07-27 1.513432 1.877042 2.310294 2.865441 3.559261 4.399584 5.497422
2025-08-03 1.260142 1.672143 2.197959 2.920211 3.889852 5.151359 6.925049
2025-08-10 1.030359 1.449991 2.018576 2.848587 4.035235 5.679677 8.147354
2025-08-17 0.838136 1.242080 1.819059 2.707938 4.051752 6.021754 9.155400
2025-08-24 0.718698 1.116143 1.711659 2.675208 4.208129 6.574167 10.545013
2025-08-31 0.620800 1.005935 1.608633 2.628370 4.328076 7.078366 11.927333
2025-09-07 0.572766 0.965873 1.606706 2.737654 4.707680 8.041320 14.201069
2025-09-14 0.519148 0.908131 1.566526 2.774551 4.966378 8.832489 16.294654
2025-09-21 0.463204 0.838152 1.495226 2.745078 5.100299 9.418246 18.099052
2025-09-28 0.405878 0.757761 1.394572 2.647090 5.091919 9.738462 19.442395
2025-10-05 0.385413 0.742244 1.408975 2.764766 5.505805 10.906249 22.623478
2025-10-12 0.365645 0.727131 1.425256 2.894785 5.976226 12.279192 26.510631
2025-10-19 0.344095 0.705755 1.426839 2.996254 6.405611 13.637729 30.613149
2025-10-26 0.318491 0.672711 1.400705 3.036440 6.711985 14.785129 34.453748
2025-11-02 0.284603 0.617775 1.322113 2.952418 6.733282 15.313050 36.959710
2025-11-09 0.249497 0.555588 1.220008 2.801401 6.579326 15.419825 38.472793
2025-11-16 0.227524 0.519721 1.170927 2.764662 6.686900 16.152165 41.666876
2025-11-23 0.207088 0.484726 1.119337 2.714624 6.754644 16.798122 44.753943
2025-11-30 0.199449 0.478696 1.133799 2.826675 7.242284 18.561739 51.133693
2025-12-07 0.187749 0.461387 1.119276 2.864272 7.544833 19.897989 56.584989
2025-12-14 0.173251 0.435348 1.080252 2.833513 7.662363 20.763745 60.858605
2025-12-21 0.156483 0.401517 1.017681 2.732103 7.573137 21.054132 63.497911